calveless wonder
New member
I've never been let down by expecting people to fuck up their basic duties or unforeseen sticky problems. An overly optimistic attitude is what created the internet and housing bubbles...shit doesn't go up forever. I sold my tech stocks a few months before the crash and avoided the internet bubble because I knew people were overly optimistic and too caught up in their greed to realize how over valued tech stocks were. Generally speaking, when people realize they need to implement their contingency plan, after abandoning their optimistic position, it's too late. I can give you a list of disasters where people didn't plan for the worst case scenario...the oil spill in the Gulf is the most recent.
The book "Code Complete" is the bible of software development and the basic rule for planning a software project is to take your estimate..double it and double it again.
there's a huge difference between blind optimism without reevaluating your position from time to time, and a well structured plan A that accounts for many factors you can potentially face.
Being optimistic and being an idiot with no plan or scope of the market are not mutually exclusive. it's not an excuse to not have a well laid out plan or being completely ignorant to what's realistic.
that's what people don't understand when they think it's stupid to optimistic.
If your well laid out plan is dependent on a lot of external variables also, which are harder to control, then the mindset is going to be a bit different. It depends on what you are trying to accomplish. Anything where you have little direct control over is going to be much more difficult to attain.