aandd said:
Another factor is the two types of oil. There is what they call "sweet oil" and "sour oil". Most of the refineries are set up for the sweet kind... I just read recently there is a move by some company to purchase and sour refinery and start producing that oil. If you have read in the past month the Saudi's just found another oil field but it was of the sour kind. There isn’t a lack of oil just processing plants.
just my $.02.
mr aandd
the difference between sweet and sour crude is the sulfur content. sour crude being high in sulfur. the higher the sulfur the more complex the process to refine it. you have to de-sulfur it.
there are a lot of refineries out there that have this capability. so i dont see it as a factor in driving gasoline prices. but it is a large factor as to why some companies have posted the 5+ billion dollar revenues.
companies that invested in these processes are now reaping the rewards. sour crude is cheaper than sweet crude, so the profit margin between the two is a lot greater with sour crude. you buy the crude cheaper and in the end the gasoline sells for the same price as the sweet crude gasoline. thereby increasing your profits.
and added benefit to that is that the refineries are able to recover the sulfur and sell it as a product now, whereas before there wasnt a great demand for it. now they cant ship enough of it.
and no, there is no lack of oil, proven reserves are still over a billion bbls probably. but production capability is being pushed to its current limits.
now again, this makes for an unstable market. any disruptions in crude production and gasoline production shakes the markets. this is what drives day traders. they set the price of crude and gasoline futures, they go by these factors, is there enough crude for everyone to refine. they are haggling for the crude. plain and simple.
ill give you an example. where i work there is a day trader on site. his sole job is to buy and sell crude. with the purchasing power he has, often times crude is bought and by the time its ready to ship prices have gone up and so he just sells it to another company. millions are made and he's never even seen the crude.
day traders drive the price off of fear, speculation and ofcourse for profits.
aandd said:
I find it crazy and greedy when the oils companies reported 5+ BILLION dollar revenues for the last quarter. That is insane. When you see average Joe trading in the SUV for the Jetta TDI that gets 50 mpg then you will see the US demand drop. Other than that we just have to hope that bubble will soon bust.
that 5+ billion is just a return on investment. the refineries that are doing that well have invested a lot of money, from production all the way down to refining. like adding sour crude processing capability. that is not cheap. and no one was complaining when they were actually losing money.