Does it really matter? You pay for the uninsured one way or another. Would you rather the Government subsidize some health insurance premiums or would you rather be charged $1,200 for a flu shot.
We have a tiered system right now:
Private Payers (roughly at cost x 1.60)
Medicare (roughly at cost x 0.90)
Uninsured/Under-insured including Medicaid (roughly at cost x 0.20)
We're moving toward a two-tier system:
Concierge Level / Elite Private Payers (cost unknown)
Obamacare/Medicare/Medicaid (cost unknown)
We managed access to the third tier before (which yes, is a nice way of saying we denied or limited care). Emergent care was paid by the hospital absorbing the cost, but even then that tier was managed.
Let me give you an example: If you presented to an ER with a marginally-stable fracture and had no insurance, you most likely got a plaster or fiberglass cast if at all possible -- they didn't even know if you'd ever return. But if you had insurance, you probably got plates and screws (a secondary, costly surgery). Providers rationed care based on your ability to pay.
Let me give you another example: Here's a real-world one. Our nanny/housekeeper's husband is marginally employed. He does "odd jobs" and probably makes less than $10,000 per year. He's at least 350 lbs and has a blood sugar that routinely runs over 300 and often spikes to over 400. He's a complete train wreck. She buys him glucose meters and test strips -- he refuses to use them. She tries to modify his eating habits -- and he sneaks food. He's told me point-blank that he doesn't care and that if they need to cut something off (referring to an amputation), so be it. In a BarryCare world, this guy is a vein of pure gold to a provider. They could easily rack-up $50,000 per year in bills for him, but A) He's not going to exercise, B) He's going to maintain his 350+ lbs body weight and C) He's not going to modify his diet. That $50,000 per year is going to come straight from taxpayers.
So what's the incremental cost of BarryCare to taxpayers through measures like I described? I'd guess for the first few years it will only be around $200-$400 billion dollars. Past five years and more like ten years away, we're talking trillion+ dollars of new entitlement costs. And yes, that's on top of our existing Medicare and Medicaid burden -- this is money spent beyond that.