here is a chart comparing the S&P 500 with the US Dollar index over the past 5 or so years. as you can see the the dollar has been essentially flat, even during very bad times. we had a very deep recession back in 2008 and early 2009, and the US dollar held strong through all of that .. if anything it actually moved up slightly during those bad times. while the S&P 500 dropped 40%. since then the economy has steadily recovered now growing 2-4% per quarter and the S&P500 manged to recover all their losses and during this the US dollar actually underperformed.. so in essence the US dollar is actually a great investment during bad times and a crappy one when things turn around.
UUP Basic Chart | PowerShares DB USD Index Bullis Stock - Yahoo! Finance
meanwhile gold and silver both took huge hits in late 2008 and then have roared back. so in essence they are poor investments during bad times and great ones when the economy recovers so they are poor investments if you think things look bleak.
this is a chart of the silver index
SLV Basic Chart | iShares Silver Trust Stock - Yahoo! Finance the 3 quarters of negative growth were end of 2008 and the first quarter of 2009.. that when silver did worse. the quarters of 2-4% growth since then silver has roared higher. so my point is silver goes up along with a growing economy and does poorly when the economy shrinks. so its a poor hedge.
I'm not saying silver isn't gonna go higher or lower. I'm saying to invest in silver based on the premise that the US economy is going into the crapper has not worked at all. if you really do think the economy is gonna go into a double dip recession then you should short silver and buy the US dollar. (FYI i do not see this happening just giving an example)
UUP Basic Chart | PowerShares DB USD Index Bullis Stock - Yahoo! Finance
meanwhile gold and silver both took huge hits in late 2008 and then have roared back. so in essence they are poor investments during bad times and great ones when the economy recovers so they are poor investments if you think things look bleak.
this is a chart of the silver index
SLV Basic Chart | iShares Silver Trust Stock - Yahoo! Finance the 3 quarters of negative growth were end of 2008 and the first quarter of 2009.. that when silver did worse. the quarters of 2-4% growth since then silver has roared higher. so my point is silver goes up along with a growing economy and does poorly when the economy shrinks. so its a poor hedge.
I'm not saying silver isn't gonna go higher or lower. I'm saying to invest in silver based on the premise that the US economy is going into the crapper has not worked at all. if you really do think the economy is gonna go into a double dip recession then you should short silver and buy the US dollar. (FYI i do not see this happening just giving an example)