It's Official! He's Gone!
Effort to recall governor qualifies for California ballot: Gray Davis Will Face Recall Election
Associated Press ^ | 07-23-03
Gov. Gray Davis became the nation's first governor in 82 years to face a recall election, as California's secretary of state announced Wednesday that a Republican-led campaign once discounted as improbable had qualified for the ballot.
Davis, a career Democratic politician who was elected in a landslide in 1998 before his popularity plunged amid California's energy crisis and budget deficit, must face the electorate in 60 to 80 days, according to state law.
Secretary of State Kevin Shelley said in a news conference that counties had reported 1.3 million valid petition signatures, "more than 110 percent of the required signatures."
Lt. Gov Cruz Bustamante said Wednesday he will schedule a recall election a day after Shelley's announcement. County elections officials have discussed Sept. 23, Sept. 30 and Oct. 7 as possible election dates.
However it was unclear whether voters would choose among potential successors to Davis at that same election. Although the secretary of state's office has long held that a vote on the recall would be on the same ballot as a list of replacement candidates, Bustamante said his role was only to set the date, not to decide whether the recall ballot would include a list of possible replacements.
He has sought legal clarification.
Despite the uncertainty, Wednesday's announcement was expected to touch off a mad scramble among potential candidates. If the recall election is held at the same time as the replacement election, they will have just days to announce whether they plan to run. They must declare their candidacies at least 59 days before the election.
The only declared major-party candidate so far is U.S. Rep. Darrell Issa, R-Vista. Actor Arnold Schwarzenegger and businessman Bill Simon, both Republicans, are considering running, and Simon planned to make an announcement at a recall rally Saturday in Sacramento. Schwarzenegger has said he has not decided whether or not he will run.
The state's Democratic officeholders have closed ranks behind Davis and say they will not run.
If the recall proceeds according to Shelley's interpretation, the ballot would have two parts: The first section would ask people to vote yes or no on whether to recall Davis and the second would provide a list of candidates to choose from in the event he is recalled. Davis' name may not be included on that list.
If a majority of voters support the recall, Davis would be replaced by the candidate with the most votes, meaning a candidate in a large field could be elected governor with a relatively small percentage of the overall vote.
Davis allies had sought in recent days to block certification of the recall, asking courts not to allow Shelley to certify the election until their allegations of petition fraud by recall proponents were investigated. Some experts thought the litigation might at least delay certification long enough that Bustamante could consolidate the election with the state's March presidential primary, when a heavy Democratic turnout could help Davis.
Those efforts failed, however, and though more legal battles could lie ahead, opponents and proponents were preparing for a bruising and costly recall election.
Davis allies, backed by organized labor, were predicting he would beat the recall. Recent polls have indicated, however, that while the vote would be close, he would lose. The last governor to undergo a recall was North Dakota Gov. Lynn J. Frazier, who was recalled in 1921.
Davis, 60, a career politician who has won statewide office in California five times, was re-elected governor just last November, defeating Simon.
Although he was elected to his first term in 1998 by a landslide, Davis' standing plunged during California's energy crisis of 2000-01. A budget crisis further eroded his popularity and he won re-election by just 5 points in November over Simon, a novice candidate with a weak campaign.
This year's $38.2 billion budget deficit has already caused the state's car tax to triple, and Davis' approval rating has continued to sink.
But the fuel for the recall came from Issa, who pumped $1.71 million of his car alarm fortune into the drive starting in May. That transformed it from a long-shot nursed by Republican activists into a reality. Thirty-one previous attempts to recall California governors had failed to reach the ballot.
The involvement of Issa, a little-known conservative, has allowed Davis and his allies to cast the recall as a right-wing attempt to hijack the state, where Democrats have a 9-percentage-point registration advantage over Republicans.
Polls have also shown that voters are also concerned about the $30 million to $35 million cost of a special election, and about the prospect that a candidate could win with relatively few votes.
Recall proponents argue that the cost of Davis' mismanagement of the state greatly outweighs the cost of a special election. They accuse him of lying about the size of the budget deficit to win re-election, which he denies.