Let's talk about Google IPO!

[Razorguns]

Google IPO?

This is like the news story of the day. And it's still a month or so away from it's date (great PR folks they've signed up!)

But WHY on earth would people go for this? The stock you know is gonna open up high, hover around there -- and probably DROP by next week.

Granted i'm not up to par on stock trading intelligence and analysis -- but I bet I do represent the *typical* stock buyer, so my concerns can be just as valid.

I can't fathom anyone even THINKING of it as being a long-term investment stock. Especially with microsoft just around the corner. And history shows how unstoppable Yahoo was just a couple years ago, and how much market share they've lost (and losing).

Heck, i know of a way to take a mighty fair chunk out of Google's business model with a *much* better search idea and $30 million investment. Someone with more money and expertise could do an even better job taking down google somewhere down the road. In a nutshell, there's nothing google has that guarantee's it's success for even a year down the road.

So the only option for financial attractiveness would be sell and dump. But i'd have doubts on this profit ability sensing that the MAJORITY of people buying it, also having that same motive in mind.

I foreshadew Google and their investment underwriting firms getting their $3.2 billion and a LOT of people losing money out of this (eg: $3.2 billion hehe). The purpose of the IPO is to get money for the owners and their reps. They could care less if the stock owners make even a cent.

Those of yous with more stock market experience -- babble away!

 

[georgie24]

damn i would only be able to buy 10 shares at my rate. yahoo was the killer oppertunity imo.

 

[bran987]

damn i would only be able to buy 10 shares at my rate. yahoo was the killer oppertunity imo.

Have you changed your mind about investing in it because of the share price? very curious

 

[bran987]

damn up to $162 today
when will it be time to short this thing?

 

[bran987]

guess not yet, it hit $195 today!!!!!

 

[gotmilk]

The major lockup period expires in February I believe.

I remember when AVCI opened and hit $185.

Now it's like 40 cents split adjusted the last time I checked out the stock

 

[bran987]

The major lockup period expires in February I believe.

I remember when AVCI opened and hit $185.

Now it's like 40 cents split adjusted the last time I checked out the stock

yeah I also just read the other day that the float is miniscule with respect to comparable stocks

 

[gotmilk]

yeah I also just read the other day that the float is miniscule with respect to comparable stocks

Until like January or February when the next lock-up period expires and like 160 Million shares become free trading. Would you hold at these prices if you had dirt cheap shares and options?

 

[bran987]

Until like January or February when the next lock-up period expires and like 160 Million shares become free trading. Would you hold at these prices if you had dirt cheap shares and options?

hell yes I would! but I would also sell at least half of it as soon as lockup expires. are you going to short it?

 

[gotmilk]

No. I have this sick feeling the market makers are going to pull a rope a dope. I can see the stock start dropping, then a rebound trying to force people into covering at higher prices.

It's the only way the price can stay somewhat stabile. That's a huge pile of shares to enter the market.

TZOO was a good short because the CEO started doing all kinds of private placements and is now trying to dump 750,000 personal shares.

I try to stay away from short selling as much as I can.

I like reverse mergers of decent companies that approach me. I have a Chinese telecom that did $330 Million last year. I'm searching for a good shell for them.

I get about 8 to 10 a year....take a couple hundred thousand restricted shares. Plus, I keep track of new mergers in the works.

I wouldn't mind doing something with Matt's company if I could find a good buyout partner. Forstmann Little might be interested but I bet there's a larger company somewhere that would take a look.