Trump calls out Obama

[Dial_tone]

c-note says romney wins
you brave enough to make the bet?

I got you.

Sent from my Nexus 7 using Tapatalk 2

 

[75th]

I got you.

Sent from my Nexus 7 using Tapatalk 2

Me too.

lol @ this being a dead heat race. People seem to forget about something called the electoral college. Penn is definitely Obama, and likely Ohio. Thats all that matters.

 

[youpissmeoff]

if u think romney has a chance youre retarded

I think everyone's perspective on this has a lot to do with location. You live in Ill. Cal or Ny you think Obama is killing it and the media tells you so. You live in Texas, you can't believe Obama has any chance.

What matters is Florida and Ohio.

I was at a dinner recently where Mary Matalin and James Carvillle were speakers. When asked who would win, Mary predictably said Romney will win by 6 or 7 % points. More importantly, Carville said it is a toss up. Said Obama has better infrastructure and ground game that is worth 1 to 2%. Said that may be the difference.

 

[uamaverick]

come on bro, you are either joking are completely politicaly ignorant...it's a dead heat with mitt a pubic hair ahead.
even the lib campaign wouldn't be so bold as to say what you did.

I'm not joking.

RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Obama vs. Romney Create Your Own Electoral Map

Let's take an actual look at the real swing states and the polls there in those individual states. I believe Romney will take FL, VA, and for benefit of the doubt, I'm giving him Ohio. Ohio seemed to be a likely Romney state 2 weeks ago, but Obama has pulled back out in the polls there, and historically Ohio is a very tough state for Repubs to take.

Most people think if Romney takes Ohio, he wins. That's not the case. There's no way in hell Romney takes New Hampshire, that's just not happening. I don't see Romney taking Colorado, either.

The three states Romney even has a chance of taking are CO, NH, and Iowa. He's not taking Iowa, either.

So, that makes it:

Obama - 272
Romney - 266

AND, this is all assuming Romney even takes Ohio, which is, truthfully, a toss-up, but I don't have confidence he will take it.

If Obama gets Ohio, he will get 290 Electoral votes to Romney's 248.

 

[goose333]

If OB is this take from the rich and give to the poor guy, why not show the requested papers and take the money?

 

[youpissmeoff]

I'm not joking.

RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Obama vs. Romney Create Your Own Electoral Map

Let's take an actual look at the real swing states and the polls there in those individual states. I believe Romney will take FL, VA, and for benefit of the doubt, I'm giving him Ohio. Ohio seemed to be a likely Romney state 2 weeks ago, but Obama has pulled back out in the polls there, and historically Ohio is a very tough state for Repubs to take.

Most people think if Romney takes Ohio, he wins. That's not the case. There's no way in hell Romney takes New Hampshire, that's just not happening. I don't see Romney taking Colorado, either.

The three states Romney even has a chance of taking are CO, NH, and Iowa. He's not taking Iowa, either.

So, that makes it:

Obama - 272
Romney - 266

AND, this is all assuming Romney even takes Ohio, which is, truthfully, a toss-up, but I don't have confidence he will take it.

If Obama gets Ohio, he will get 290 Electoral votes to Romney's 248.

Lol... Your own count makes it a toss up and you are 98% sure? And these same polls would have given you a 7 to 9% Obama win 3 weeks ago so momentum is not exactly in his favor.

 

[75th]

I'm not joking.

RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Obama vs. Romney Create Your Own Electoral Map

Let's take an actual look at the real swing states and the polls there in those individual states. I believe Romney will take FL, VA, and for benefit of the doubt, I'm giving him Ohio. Ohio seemed to be a likely Romney state 2 weeks ago, but Obama has pulled back out in the polls there, and historically Ohio is a very tough state for Repubs to take.

Most people think if Romney takes Ohio, he wins. That's not the case. There's no way in hell Romney takes New Hampshire, that's just not happening. I don't see Romney taking Colorado, either.

The three states Romney even has a chance of taking are CO, NH, and Iowa. He's not taking Iowa, either.

So, that makes it:

Obama - 272
Romney - 266

AND, this is all assuming Romney even takes Ohio, which is, truthfully, a toss-up, but I don't have confidence he will take it.

If Obama gets Ohio, he will get 290 Electoral votes to Romney's 248.

This however FYI Nate Silver is the only prognosticator that matters:

Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com

And before the willfully ignorant start screaming "omg its at NYT a lubrul paper!!!" Silver is a statistician who has admitted to leaning Republican. He called the 2008 Presidential and senate races down to a T.

 

[Dial_tone]

I watch the first bit of Scarborough Country in the AM and the swing states are you really need to discuss.

Swing-State Map, List & Polls - POLITICO.com

One of my conservative nut job coworkers claims there's a computer that predicts Romney will get 300 electoral votes, which means he has to win just about every swing state....says the computer has never been wrong.

 

[youpissmeoff]

I watch the first bit of Scarborough Country in the AM and the swing states are you really need to discuss.

Swing-State Map, List & Polls - POLITICO.com

So it still comes down to Ohio

 

[75th]

So it still comes down to Ohio

Pretty much, but Obama losing Ohio wont be as big of a deal as Romney losing Ohio.

If Romney loses Ohio he loses the election. If Obama loses Ohio, he still has a good shot at making up the difference.